OPEC production has not been finalized, analysts said that if an agreement, oil prices will rise 济宁医学院北湖校区

OPEC production has not yet been finalized, analysts said, if an agreement, oil prices will rise figure: Shanxi, Taiyuan, a gas station, the staff are counting refueling. China News Agency reporter Zhang Yun photo OPEC production has not yet finalized the agreement analysis said that if oil prices will rise in new network on 15 February, (energy channels Song Yafen) by UAE Minister of energy on OPEC (OPEC) will boost the production of news, international oil prices after four consecutive days of decline, in 12 ushered in a sharp rebound in 12% about. However, the prospect of OPEC’s agreement on reducing production is still uncertain, and the future trend of oil prices is also full of possibilities. Some analysts said that if OPEC really reached a reduction in production, international oil prices will rise rapidly. On the 12 day, a report from the Wall Street Journal said that Mads Rui, the energy minister of the United Arab Emirates, said OPEC (OPEC) had prepared for joint production cuts. Stimulated by the news, international oil prices ushered in a strong rise. In February 12th, the New York Mercantile Exchange in March 2016 WTI futures settlement price of $29.44 a barrel, up $3.23, compared with the previous trading day up 12.3%, trading range of $26.95-29.66; London Intercontinental Exchange, April 2016 Brent crude futures settlement price of $33.36 per barrel, up $3.30, compared with the previous trading day up 11%, trading range of $30.85-33.44. However, many people on the market still doubt the possibility of the success of the reduction, and pessimistic about the future situation of international oil prices. First of all, although Venezuela and the United Arab Emirates have revealed the willingness to reduce production, Saudi Arabia has not made a clear statement. In the past, Saudi Arabia’s decision has played a key role in OPEC’s agreement on reducing production. Saudi Arabia has always been the most resolute and the most capital reserved country in the non production reduction countries. Beijing petroleum exchange analyst Xiaofeng said on Beijing energy channels: "now the United States has 60 oil companies filed for bankruptcy protection, the Saudis seem to have seen this" war of attrition "hope. So for Saudi Arabia, production cuts may still be hard to make." A gas station staff refueling the car. Wu Junjie agency issued photo in addition, since international oil prices fell, including China, oil power began hoarding oil to increase their oil reserves, and each country’s crude oil storage capacity is limited. The British oil company CEO Bob? Dudley held on the day before the international petroleum week Summit (IP Week) is expected, the second half of the year, each depot in the world will be filled. Goldman Sachs report also pointed out that some areas of inventory capacity has been exhausted. In an interview with the new energy channel, he said: "the status quo of crude oil production has been unable to solve the problem of oversupply, unless OPEC will reduce oil production from 32 million 300 thousand barrels per day to 31 million 500 thousand barrels per day."." However, the factors that support oil prices rebound in the future are also increasing. First of all, on

OPEC减产尚未敲定 分析称若达成协议油价将大涨 资料图:山西太原一加油站,工作人员正在清点加油款。中新社记者 张云 摄   OPEC减产尚未敲定 分析称若达成协议油价将大涨   中新网2月15日电(能源频道宋亚芬)受阿联酋能源部长关于欧佩克(OPEC)将减产的消息提振,国际油价在经历连续四个交易日的下跌之后,于12日迎来12%左右的大幅反弹。   不过,由于欧佩克能否达成减产协议前景仍不明朗,未来油价走势也充满无限可能性。有分析师表示,如果欧佩克真的达成减产,国际油价将快速上升。   12日,一则来自《华尔街日报》的报道称,阿联酋能源部长马兹鲁伊表示,欧佩克(OPEC)已做好联合减产的准备。   受该消息刺激,国际油价迎来强劲上涨。2月12日,纽约商品期货交易所西得克萨斯轻油2016年3月期货结算价每桶29.44美元,比前一交易日上涨3.23美元,涨幅12.3%,交易区间26.95-29.66美元;伦敦洲际交易所布伦特原油2016年4月期货结算价每桶33.36美元,比前一交易日上涨3.30美元,涨幅11.0%,交易区间30.85-33.44美元。   不过,市场上仍有不少人对这次减产成功的可能性表示怀疑,并对未来国际油价的形势持悲观态度。首先,虽然委内瑞拉和阿联酋都透露了减产意愿,但沙特并未明确表态。而从以往的情况来看,沙特的决定在欧佩克能否达成减产协议中是起关键作用的。   沙特一直是坚持不减产国家中最坚决、也最有资本撑下去的国家。北京石油交易所分析师于潇枫对中新网能源频道表示:“现在美国已经有60家油企提交了破产保护申请,沙特似乎已看到了这场‘消耗战’的希望。所以对于沙特而言,减产可能依然是极难做出的决定。” 一加油站工作人员给汽车加油。 中新社发 武俊杰 摄   另外,自国际油价走跌以来,包括中国在内的用油大国开始大量囤积石油增加本国的原油储备,而每个国家的原油储备库库容是有限的。   英国石油公司首席执行官鲍勃?达德利在日前举行的国际石油周峰会(IP Week)上预计,到今年下半年,世界上的每个油库都将被填满。高盛报告也指出,一些地区的库存容量已经耗竭。   于潇枫在接受中新网能源频道采访时表示:“原油产量维持现状已无法解决供应过剩的问题,除非欧佩克将石油产量从3230万桶 日削减至3150万桶 日。”   不过,支撑油价在未来反弹的因素也在增加。首先,虽然沙特并未表态,但不断增加的赤字已经在慢慢压缩它的选择权。根据沙特政府公布的2015年财政报告,沙特2015年度政府支出为9750亿里亚尔,而年收入则为6080亿里亚尔,年度赤字达到3670亿里亚尔(约合978.7亿美元),创历史最高纪录。据测算,沙特在油价上升至105美元才能实现收支平衡。   其次,美国在线原油和天然气钻井平台数量已经连续八周下降。油田服务机构贝克休斯公布的数据显示,截止2月12日的一周,美国在线钻探油井数量439座,为五年来最低,比前周减少28座,比去年同期减少617座。   据于潇枫介绍,目前美国页岩油企业已经出现较大规模的倒闭潮,预示着产量将下降。   “尽管仍然有不少声音继续质疑产油国合作减产的可能性,但是市场关于产油国减产的消息越来越多。如果可以达成减产协议,国际油价或将快速上升。”(中新网能源频道) 进入【新浪财经股吧】讨论相关的主题文章: