Front plate the global stock market is a monkey city on the first day after the holiday increases th 福建农林大学东方学院

Front plate: the global stock market is "monkey city" A shares rose 50% on the first day after the holiday – Sohu financial China probability Economic Net Beijing on February 15th news on the eve of the Spring Festival, the market index fell below 2700 points, a record 2638.3 stage low, a jittery market. According to incomplete statistics, the average loss of A shares reached 30% in January, which really "wronged" the majority of investors. In such a crash, before the Spring Festival, the Shanghai index has begun to stabilize, one by one, all kinds of subject shares rebound, so the market for A shares more of a related stock movements hope. Analysts believe that in February began to enter the "two sessions" before the stability of the period, for the market to stabilize the rebound has a boost role. On the news surface, arranged according to the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchange, after the first trading week (February 15th to 19) Shanghai and Shenzhen two city of 63 companies a total of 7 billion 70 million restricted shares traded, lifting the market value of about 85 billion 800 million yuan. According to Southwest Securities statistics, after the first trading week two, total number of shares lifted 7 billion 70 million shares, of which Shanghai Shenzhen 2 billion 199 million shares, 4 billion 870 million shares; in February 5th the closing price as the standard for calculating the market value of 85 billion 806 million yuan, of which 16 companies of Shanghai Shenzhen 47 companies 32 billion 987 million yuan, 52 billion 819 million yuan. From the inside and outside factors during the long holidays, the overseas stock markets were in turmoil, and generally declined. In fact, before the Spring Festival after the Spring Festival "sow", "harvest", this drama by investors repeatedly staged in the previous year. According to the 16 years since 2000 the Spring Festival, the first trading day after the performance, increases the probability and the probability of decline each accounted for 50%. Public data show that since 2000, as of 2015, Shanghai refers to the Spring Festival after the first trading day for eight or eight up, the specific point of view, 2000, 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2009 and 2014 for the closing up, the rest of the year is down. After the Spring Festival, the market price is 11, 5 and a week. Rising probability of nearly 70%. From the A stock market itself, one is the investor sentiment is still relatively low, in the disk volume is low-spirited and hot plate is dim, in addition to the price of gold rose gold plate by the performance there are still opportunities, other sectors continued poor. Two is the market funds face, preganglionic central behavior to deal with the Spring Festival market invested more than 2 trillion yuan, but there is no significant inflow of funds in the stock market. If only the stock funds game, the expected shortfall. The three is from the technical point of view, although the market before the two cities rebounded to stabilize, but the trend of hesitation, intensity is weak, so this week after opening the weak pattern is difficult to change. Investors should be cautious in operation, mainly defensive. Important news A stock market 43 firms like the banks and other industry 60 stocks or send red envelopes to adjust the pressure of the year of the monkey’s relatively limited space "90 after more fear of the market investors losses IPO registration system reform authorization decision next month implementation of military news blowing frequency longitudinal reform is expected to continue to promote the Dong Shaopeng with a global perspective and maintenance Chinese cautious response to the defensive stability of the stock market rally weak%

盘前:全球股市现“猴市” A股节后首日上涨概率五成-搜狐财经   中国经济网北京2月15日讯 春节前夕,大盘指数跌破2700点,创下2638.3点的阶段新低,市场一片人心惶惶。据不完全统计,1月份A股平均亏损幅度达到30%,着实“委屈”了广大投资者。在如此大跌之后,春节前上证指数已经开始企稳,各类题材股逐一反弹,让市场对A股多了一份 相关公司股票走势 希望。分析人士认为,2月开始进入“两会”前的维稳时期,对于行情的企稳回升有一定的助推作用。  消息面上,根据沪深交易所安排,节后首个交易周(2月15日至19日)沪深两市有63家公司共计70.7亿限售股解禁上市流通,解禁市值约858亿元。据西南证券统计,节后首个交易周两市解禁股数共计70.7亿股,其中沪市21.99亿股,深市48.70亿股;以2月5日收盘价为标准计算的市值为858.06亿元,其中沪市16家公司329.87亿元,深市47家公司528.19亿元。  从长假期间内外因素综合来看,海外股市大幅动荡,普遍下跌。实际上,春节前“播种”,春节后“收割”,这样的戏码在以往年度被投资者屡次上演。根据2000年以来16年的春节后首个交易日表现来看,上涨概率和下跌概率各占五成。公开数据显示,自2000年以来,截至2015年,沪指春节后首个交易日为八涨八跌,具体来看,2000年、2002年、2004年、2005年、2006年、2007年、2009年、2014年为上涨收盘,其余年份皆下跌。而春节后一周的行情是11涨5跌。上涨概率近七成。  从A股市场本身看,一是投资者情绪目前仍较为低迷,表现在盘面就是成交量萎靡不振以及盘中热点较为暗淡,除了黄金板块受金价大涨仍有表现机会外,其它板块持续性较差。二是市场资金面,节前央行为应对春节市场共投放资金超过2万亿元,但股市没有明显 资金流入。如果仅靠存量资金博弈,预期不足。三是从技术面看,虽然节前两市大盘企稳反弹,但走势犹豫、力度偏弱,因此本周低开后弱势格局难以改变。投资者在操作上仍宜谨慎应对,防御为主。  A股市场重要新闻  43家券商看好银行等三行业 60只个股或派猴年红包  调整压力再临 空间相对有限“90后”股民亏损后更敬畏市场  IPO注册制改革授权决定下月起施行  军工消息面暖风频吹 纵向改革有望持续推进  董少鹏:以全球视野 维护中国股市稳定  谨慎应对 防御为主  弱反弹行情有望延续  异动股扫描:机构入驻*ST星美  全球市场坐过山车 避险成投资主基调  春节档电影票房突破30亿元 多家上市公司获益  避险情绪升温 A股筑底料延长  全球金融市场猴年现“猴市”  保护投资者利益依然是资本市场主题  全球金融动荡凸显复苏维艰  机构观点  广发证券:海外市场大跌不会冲击A股 阶段性抛压已很小  近期海外市场由于“审美疲劳”带来的大幅下跌应该不会对A股市场形成较大冲击,我们对A股市场在“两会”前处于“喘息期”的观点不变;而中期来看,由于A股自身“审美疲劳”的症结也还没得到根除,所以我们要继续保持熊市思维。  短期A股市场相比海外的一个相对优势是――恐慌情绪已经过三轮“股灾”释放,阶段性的抛压并不大,在“两会”前也还会有一些正面的政策预 期。虽然海外市场近期跌幅较大,但其实和已经经历了三轮“股灾”的A股比起来,还是“小巫见大巫”――相比此前牛市的最高点,海外股市普遍下跌了20%到 30%左右,但A股市场相比最高点已经接近”腰斩”,恐慌情绪已经得到较大的释放。  国金证券:2016年A股整体操作难度较大  政策面临两难困境和艰难的博弈,但“惟其艰难,才更显勇毅,惟其笃行,才弥足珍贵”。2月7日,央行披露了最新的外汇储备为3.23万亿美元,下降994亿美元(去年12月外储大降1079亿美元,为历史上最大单月降幅),这一数据难言利好。在没有明显的政策转向或其他积极因素出现之前,市场既有的趋势不会发生改变,仍建议需以控制风险,谨慎操作为主。  中国经济正展开一场改革与风险的赛跑,改革预期的花开花落深刻地影响着A股、人民币汇率、债市等大类资产。对于2016年经济和资本市场的前景,国泰君安主要有三大判断,一是未来中国经济将呈L型走势,二是改革是政治经济学,三是资本市场主基调是休养生息,把握供给侧改革等结构性投资机会。  外围指数  截止发稿时  指数名称  最新价  涨跌额  涨跌幅  恒生指数  18319.58 -226.22 -1.22%  日经225指数  14952.61 -760.78 -4.84%  韩国指数  1835.28 -26.26 -1.41%  澳大利亚指数 4725.00 -54.80 -1.15%  道琼斯指数  15973.84 313.66 2.00%  标普500指数  1864.78 35.70 1.95%  纳斯达克指数 4337.51 70.67 1.66%  德国DAX指数  8967.51 214.64 2.45%相关的主题文章: